![]() The UN report states that “population anxieties have seeped into large portions of the general public”. If the UN projections are to be believed, India’s population is very much expected to keep growing during next three decades, after which it will start declining. On the other hand, China’s population was at 114.4 crore. Interestingly, in 1950, India’s population was at 86.1 crore. About 25 per cent is between 0-14 years 18 per cent between 10 and 19 years, 26 per cent between 10 and 24 years, and 7 per cent above 65 years.Īnother UN report, World Population Prospects 2022, which was released in July last year, projected that India’s population would reach 166.8 crore by July 2022, going much beyond China’s declining population at 131.7 crore. But the UN Population Fund suggests that a TFR of 2.1 is something that is necessary for a country to maintain population stability and, of course, we are on the verge of achieving this if we continue to maintain the present rate in the next few years to come.Ī careful analysis and understanding of demographics is important for designing a national policy for better population management aimed at harmonious growth and development in all walks of the national life.Īccording to the report, 68 per cent of India’s total population is between the ages of 15 and 64 years, which is considered as the working population of a country. It is also a fact that India’s total fertility rate, which indicates the number of children per woman had come down to 2 in 2020-2021 from about 3.4 in the early Nineties. The population projection given by the UN report is such despite the fact that the rate of population growth has slowed down considerably in the past 10 years. The UN report is in coherence with the data trend reflected in successive government studies and National Family Health Surveys and other government studies. This is, therefore, an augmented method of calculation that gives better understanding of population dynamics as compared to the time when we launched our first family planning programme almost 70 years ago. To reach such a conclusion, the demographers have put to use a variety of metrics like fertility and replacement rates, age and region-wise data. ![]() As per the report, India’s population is estimated to reach 142.86 crore by the middle of this year which is a bit more than that of China, i.e., 142.57 crore. This projection has been given by none other than the UN Population Fund in its report. India could overtake China as the world’s most populous country in the world and that too in the next two months.
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